Artist’s impression of an asteroid nearing the moon NASA/JPL-Caltech
Asteroid 2024 YR4 is on a potential crash course with Earth, but there’s a very slight chance the moon could take the hit.
Based on current observations, there is a 2.1 per cent chance that the asteroid – about as long as the Leaning Tower of Pisa is tall – will crash into our planet on 22 December 2032. Although it is very likely to miss, a direct strike on a populated area would be catastrophic. But if it is in fact heading directly our way, new calculations show that there…


![Small dome in the Compton-Belkovich region (61.33 ?N, 99.68 ?E). Evidence indicates a volcanic origin for this and other intriguing features in the region. Incidence angle is 64?, Sun is from the SSW, image is ~510 m across. NAC image number M139238146L [NASA/GSFC/Arizona State University].](https://images.newscientistbeta.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/07172644/SEI_163208069.jpg)
