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Space

Killer asteroid predictions 'off by millions of miles'

By David Shiga

9 July 2008

New Scientist. Science news and long reads from expert journalists, covering developments in science, technology, health and the environment on the website and the magazine.

YOU’D think that by now we’d have a firm grip on the trajectory of the solar system’s most worrisome chunk of rock. In fact we have only a hazy understanding of how likely the asteroid Apophis is to strike Earth. What’s more, budget cuts may shut down the telescope that could clarify the situation.

Since Apophis was discovered in 2004, asteroid-watchers have known that it has a slim chance of hitting Earth in 2036. At 270 metres wide, it is too small to rival the object that wiped out the dinosaurs, but it could cause devastating tsunamis were it to…

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