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Earth

Are climate scientists overselling their models?

By Fred Pearce

3 December 2008

New Scientist. Science news and long reads from expert journalists, covering developments in science, technology, health and the environment on the website and the magazine.

Physicist Lenny Smith thinks that climate modellers are overselling their results

(Image: Pal Hansen)

At the UN climate negotiations under way in Poland this week, politicians will be poring over forecasts of climate change. It’s an opportune moment for physicist Lenny Smith to challenge the climate modellers who he believes are overselling their results. Human activity really is changing the global climate, he tells Fred Pearce, but we must stop pretending that we know the details of how it will all play out

You work with climate models, but you have issues with them too. Why?

The temptation to interpret…

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