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Think fast – you're a physics genius

Some snap decisions are surprisingly smart. That's because a little scientist inside your head takes care of the mathematics

By Michael Strevens

9 October 2013

New Scientist. Science news and long reads from expert journalists, covering developments in science, technology, health and the environment on the website and the magazine.

The little scientist in your head takes care of the maths

(Image: Quentin Bertoux/Agence VU/Camera Press)

THE idiocy of humankind is a topic as entertaining as it is inexhaustible. Among our many inabilities, one of the most pathetic is our ineptitude in juggling probabilities.

Suppose, for example, that you have an ordinary six-sided die with four green faces and two red ones. Your task is to choose one of the sequences below, then roll the die 20 times. If your selection turns up, you will win $25. Which one will maximise your chances of winning?

(1) RGRRR

(2) GRGRRR

(3)…

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