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Letter: Are extremes of global population still possible?

Published 23 November 2022

From Nigel Langley, Totnes, Devon, UK

As the world population hits 8 billion and amid official predictions that it will probably peak later this century, I still fear that extreme alternative scenarios could come to pass. Small annual percentage changes in population can multiply over the years, causing large changes. As a result of this compounding effect, it is possible that global population will become either much smaller or much bigger than it is today(12 November, p 14).

I don’t think the head count will stay around the 8 to 10 billion level. At some point in time, it is possible, due to the compounding effect, for the population to be either under 1 billion or over 100 billion.

Issue no. 3414 published 26 November 2022

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